By Steve Sailer
03/27/2017
From the New York Times, a widely cited figure:
But at MarginalRevolution.com, commenter GoldenEra went and looked up the original, which reads:Amid ‘Trump Effect’ Fear, 40% of Colleges See Dip in Foreign Applicants
By STEPHANIE SAUL MARCH 16, 2017
… Nearly 40 percent of colleges are reporting overall declines in applications from international students, according to a survey of 250 college and universities, released this week by the American Association of Collegiate Registrars and Admissions Officers.
Which is different by an order of magnitude than the implication of headline. Instead of 40% of colleges, the net is 39% — 35% = 4%, which is an order of magnitude smaller.Key findings of the survey include:
- 39% of responding institutions reported a decline in international applications, 35% reported an increase, and 26% reported no change in applicant numbers.